Friday, July 20, 2012

NEWS!

As you surely know, the Jays announced a big trade this morning. Not a stellar trade but a lot of bodies. I had a strong suspicion as I went to bed last night with the knowledge that Travis Snider was on his way to Boston that something was afoot. I even figured it must involve either Francisco or Davis going out and a reliever coming in. Didn't see anything this populated though.

On the surface it seems like a lot of bodies but let's break it down to analyze the value. Look at it like three separate moves for three separate players:

Asher Wojechikowski and Carlos Perez for Brandon Lyon - A bit steep for a reliever who walks at the end of the year but, when healthy, Lyon has been quite good for a long time. This is roughly the going rate. Wojo's best upside is as a late inning reliever, and Perez is far enough away and far enough down the depth chart to be affordable. Lyon broke in at age 21 with Toronto, way back in 2001.

Joe Musgrove and PTBNL for JA Happ - Happ is basically the guy Brett Cecil projects to be.A few more K's, a few less hits but basically in the same range. I do wonder who gets pushed out of the rotation if there's not another shoe to drop.

Dave Rollins for David Carpenter - Sure, why not? Rollins might never reach the majors and Ken Rosenthal tweets that Carpenter might be the best player coming our way. Take a look at his minor league numbers,

Francisco Cordero and Ben Francisco have no discernible trade value, and the path is cleared for Snider who - assuming he takes over regularly in LF, is an upgrade by himself.

On my most recent prospect list, I had Wojo at 14, Perez at 15, Musgrove at 19, and Rollins at 51

So seen in segments, I don't see much to object to here. It's not the sort of thing that excites, nor is it a groaner. also, as i alluded to above - don't be shocked if Happ (or Cecil?) is going out in a coming trade.

Of course, the most exciting news of the day is the arrival of Travis Snider. If Farrell slots him in as the everyday left fielder, that could be the biggest upgrade of the day.





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